Written by: @ff_jblack
Idea by: @PauliesSleepers
Since the 2018 NFL season ended, 8 new head coaches or interim coaches took over. As the coaches move, their offensive & defensive play styles come too. This could change some fantasy players for the better or for worse. Let’s dive into the most exciting coaching changes that could alter your draft strategy.
1. Kliff Kingsbury – Arizona Cardinals
It’s his “rookie” year in the NFL and he brings a unique style of play calling from Texas Tech. Kliff is your modern day running up the score type madden player…an offensive minded freak, if you will. Dating back to 2013, 5 out of 6 of those seasons, he had a top 23 scoring offense (2 were top 5).
The number one pick in the 2019 draft will be well on his way to rookie of the year and might push for an MVP season. I am talking BIG numbers for Kyler Murray. This kid can rocket the ball with amazing accuracy. With Murray in the pocket, guys like Christian Kirk and Larry Fitzgerald will be target machines. Even though this will become a pass heavy offense, David Johnson will still have a productive season catching the ball. DJ will be a great check down for Murray. The one intriguing receiving option I would keep my eye on is Ricky Seals-Jones. Murray and RSJ were on the same team at Texas A&M in 2015. Kyler did not play much, but they knew each other from their time at school so the relationship between these two will hopefully blossom into something special. In Murray’s last season though, he did use his TE, but this was due to the fact that he would line up in the slot, so his TE numbers are kind of flawed.
2. Bruce Arians – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This hire by the bucks most likely my favorite of them all. Arians offensive play style is exactly what Jameis Winston needs in this point of his career. Arians is a pass first kind of guy and he is willing to risk it all on the first play. Guy’s like Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and OJ Howard will have a bump in fantasy value while catching some deep passes if Winston can connect. The only position I see that will most likely see a decrease is the running back position.
3. Matt LaFleur – Green Bay Packers
Matt LaFleur knows that this is Aaron Rodgers team. LaFleur will not try to do or change much other than letting Aaron Jones be the guy! Matt LaFleur was applying the run first style in Nashville, but like I said earlier I believe Aaron Rodgers will still be a high end QB 1. The real question that myself and the fantasy community are asking is who will be the true number 2 to Adams. Randall Cobb is off with the Cowboys, so will Geronimo Allison finally step up and take that true number 2 role? Rather it be Allison taking the number 2 or Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Rodgers can throw darts all over the field. So, buy in shares wherever the value is. I would stay away from Jimmy Graham. He hasn’t proved himself much of late, but I do understand things change year to year.
4. Adam Gase – New York Jets
Adam Gase makes his way in at number 4 on this list. Gase has definitely made a name for himself over past few years. He has a second year QB in Sam Darnold, who could have a lot to prove in his sophomore year. Robby Anderson and Quincy Enunwa are mostly the only two wide outs I’ll consider taking in a redraft league. Crowder did sign an off-season contract with the team, but he will need to step it up if he is going to compete for targets. The biggest highlight of the team has to be signing of Le’Veon Bell. Bell may not have played last season, but he will still finish the 2019 season as a top 12 RB. Chris Herndon could be a sleeper TE towards the end of your draft or you can pick him off the wavier once his suspension is up. He may be the 3rd or 4th option in any given play, but could sneak a few targets here or there.
Stay tuned for part 2 as I dive deeper into the coaches backgrounds…